Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26bddaaa04fd0caaa998d083fa76230f91490d15fd6b69ad95aec7bf14a145fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,841 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,187$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,878$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.6 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 43c | 1,039$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.49 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 540.38$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.01 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 56c | 442.15$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.61 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 373.77$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 355.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…33ccbacked Under | 46c | 297.39$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…9124backed Under | 46c | 247.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…8329backed Under | 46c | 247.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 215.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 51c | 210.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 200.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…b79bbacked Under | 46c | 198.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 143.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 46c | 142.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 54c | 141.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 56c | 106.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 96.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 82.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 59c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 59c | 61.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Over | 60c | 49.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 51c | 36.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…2c6dbacked Over | 71c | 33.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 46c | 25.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 136.5this page
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-10.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska Cornhuskers won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 135.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 139.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 140.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.