TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,238 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Over52c104,083$54,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,123.0144452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Under48c87,540$42,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,520.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c25,829$12,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,474.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over53c24,887$13,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,106.9124451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2814…68dbbacked Under48c12,952$6,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,735.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9918548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under48c6,515$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.4639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Under48c6,054$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.948748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over54c5,216$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.8629845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c5,169$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.012,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c4,348$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.052,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Under48c3,585$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.152050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c3,391$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.175,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c3,247$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6701,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c3,034$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.5721248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under48c2,652$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.2818048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57de…cd90backed Under48c2,600$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3521283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+59.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Under48c2,503$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c2,435$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.361,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c1,995$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.6890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Under48c1,992$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.895054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over55c1,983$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.576342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c1,955$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.481,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under46c1,892$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.052,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,500$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79018744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e8…2525backed Under48c1,384$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under48c1,239$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.3210650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Under48c1,209$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.434654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd14d…e2bfbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f2…2ba5backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c803.51$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.622,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Under48c754.7$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.452147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c699.97$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9916147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Over53c561.1$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.383046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ec9…75c7backed Over51c560.29$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.752860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c479.07$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.323,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under46c386.03$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4514325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked Over51c376.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.125143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over51c326.46$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.518556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under50c301.34$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.673,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Under46c297.39$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.598444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under46c287.48$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.243348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c283.22$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.441,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c279.19$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5622349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over55c223.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.925740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffa4…ac86backed Over52c216.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Under46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.372045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c215.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4929650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c203.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.922047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under48c198.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0920642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c195.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.491,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c187.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.135234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02c…8c61backed Over52c182.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c181.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c176.45$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.875,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under48c175.74$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf664…8470backed Under49c174.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under49c167.48$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4210458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0418…d347backed Under49c162.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d9…4007backed Under49c157.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Over59c138.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.34047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over52c133.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2530054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under53c128.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5557655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over54c125$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2897…a659backed Under49c113.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ef…924bbacked Over52c112$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over52c111.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.861650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c108.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7419958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1985…d663backed Over10c108.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Under46c104.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.212441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under49c101.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.586963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over53c101$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under48c99.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5521455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under49c99.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5520254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x175c…a8c2backed Over52c97.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Over55c90.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0213560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over52c88.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0714245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over46c83.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5464647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under49c78.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.927753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Over51c73.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under49c71.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4450745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under48c67.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3233058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under49c66.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.825457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Under49c60.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.957162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5765…43a3backed Over52c59.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee68…6936backed Over52c53.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under47c51.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.11,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Under49c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.794148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under49c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under52c49.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.62860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under50c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.787951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under50c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.787655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under50c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.783053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9611854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Over57c43.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.793438.2%13 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-34.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under46c42.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9119348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.