TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5765…43a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.68
Barletta: Duje Ajdukovic vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Kaichi Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Katarina Zavatska vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Katarina Zavatska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.66
Zadar: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alex Molcanbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$9.68
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Miami Open, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-80%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+234.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+569%+$131.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$44.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100.7%+$10.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.