TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,674 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Lynx42c7,000$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,063.5123653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Zero Tenacity60c4,966$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00053451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Lynx44c4,954$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.673841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx46c3,409$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.2951751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Zero Tenacity48c2,549$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.0746649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Lynx44c2,528$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.2512156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Zero Tenacity58c2,026$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1758155.6%45 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Zero Tenacity60c1,817$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.2671454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx45c1,652$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.971,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity43c1,594$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.012,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zero Tenacity57c1,555$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.4156243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx49c1,525$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.5766662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity50c1,335$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.822,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Zero Tenacity58c1,201$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.019946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Lynx66c1,161$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.9586949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity56c1,102$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61970052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e3…770ebacked Zero Tenacity57c1,092$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Zero Tenacity58c937.05$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Team Lynx40c796.71$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.457231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e8…db51backed Zero Tenacity56c788.62$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Team Lynx46c773.78$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.842055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Team Lynx43c756.15$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.6322945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e3…59cdbacked Team Lynx66c743.29$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.227100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x688e…148dbacked Zero Tenacity60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity55c590.31$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.071,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Zero Tenacity57c543.86$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe702…563fbacked Zero Tenacity58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Zero Tenacity59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29514849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity46c446.57$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.912,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx45c410.43$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.721,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Zero Tenacity59c380$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.692556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed Zero Tenacity57c360.43$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed Zero Tenacity57c353.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Zero Tenacity69c350$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.524131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ca…7d49backed Zero Tenacity58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Zero Tenacity32c320.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1370236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…2317backed Zero Tenacity58c312.24$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.11258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Team Lynx49c305$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1552835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Zero Tenacity59c301.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.032744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Lynx37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18912642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Zero Tenacity71c283.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Zero Tenacity56c275.63$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6136654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Zero Tenacity62c256.91$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15972035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Lynx44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14025348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6d…f901backed Zero Tenacity9c234.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.124533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Zero Tenacity58c232.34$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9350%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked Zero Tenacity60c228.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.089440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Lynx42c213.12$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Zero Tenacity29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5825147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Lynx42c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9642145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Team Lynx45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11120838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked Zero Tenacity61c197.7$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9923849.6%118 W · 120 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Zero Tenacity51c195.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Zero Tenacity56c189.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Lynx57c186$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.136054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Zero Tenacity56c180.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.914154.6%77 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Zero Tenacity59c169.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9529245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3956…1094backed Team Lynx44c164$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Team Lynx42c158.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.572878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Zero Tenacity58c155.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.993647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x126a…2e3ebacked Team Lynx49c155.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.131668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx42c154.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.311,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc10a…46b5backed Zero Tenacity55c149.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Zero Tenacity58c149.67$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.815648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96c…fc5abacked Team Lynx44c148$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Zero Tenacity58c137.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7915545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d6…40dbbacked Team Lynx44c137$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6847…4f83backed Zero Tenacity80c136.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.03875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx40c135.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9791356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db7…0a30backed Team Lynx40c131$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c9…14fbbacked Team Lynx44c130$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f09…20e3backed Team Lynx44c126$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Lynx42c122$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.522245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity24c113.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.471,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Team Lynx42c113.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8544645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Team Lynx44c112.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.465334%18 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Zero Tenacity56c110.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.877657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Zero Tenacity32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Zero Tenacity57c108.77$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Team Lynx46c106.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Zero Tenacity36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Zero Tenacity51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5150247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Lynx20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8013450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Zero Tenacity44c94.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6554753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Zero Tenacity57c93.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.112356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx48c91.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.531,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Zero Tenacity60c91.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5534045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Team Lynx43c82.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.336245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Zero Tenacity26c76.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3165337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf823…74c4backed Zero Tenacity59c76.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5765…43a3backed Team Lynx42c75.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Zero Tenacity48c75.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2312720.5%26 W · 101 L-22.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Zero Tenacity60c75.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e7…b1ddbacked Zero Tenacity56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Zero Tenacity21c69.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Zero Tenacity59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zero Tenacity48c63.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2634063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Zero Tenacity58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6314762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5624…4659backed Zero Tenacity56c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…b731backed Zero Tenacity56c57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.