Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b64ca9a87c10bd9cacadf19bcae729c8c1fbf184770a085620dc28b02cfadf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,184 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe15…80b5backed Team Lynx | 79c | 8,000$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 4,062$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.32 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Zero Tenacity | 5c | 2,130$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Lynx | 37c | 1,849$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.42 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 1,629$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.67 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Zero Tenacity | 10c | 1,400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +290.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Zero Tenacity | 10c | 1,400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 33c | 1,333$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Lynx | 39c | 1,326$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.07 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 1,176$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.87 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Zero Tenacity | 10c | 1,100$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Zero Tenacity | 10c | 1,100$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Lynx | 44c | 1,020$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.01 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Lynx | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.1 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 900$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +405.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 39c | 876.08$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.26 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 852.04$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.05 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…d0fabacked Zero Tenacity | 7c | 800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 762.33$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.27 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 694.06$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 35c | 627.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.26 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 618.39$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.31 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx | 49c | 588.82$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 538.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx | 47c | 527.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.24 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Zero Tenacity | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Zero Tenacity | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Zero Tenacity | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d9…d520backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 463.86$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 360$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 12cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 360$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 338.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Team Lynx | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 283.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 281.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Lynx | 63c | 279.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 273.74$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Lynx | 42c | 265$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Team Lynx | 25c | 262.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.72 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Zero Tenacity | 23c | 185$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 180$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Lynx | 54c | 173.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 161.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Lynx | 27c | 160$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 155.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 144.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Lynx | 27c | 123.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…ac6abacked Team Lynx | 49c | 113.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 93.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 90.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Team Lynx | 44c | 71.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Team Lynx | 29c | 67.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Lynx | 22c | 61.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Team Lynx | 25c | 59.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 56.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Team Lynx | 45c | 54.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Team Lynx | 41c | 53.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Lynx | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 49.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 46.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Lynx | 45c | 44.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 43.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Team Lynx | 46c | 43.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Lynx | 31c | 40.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Team Lynx | 41c | 36.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Team Lynx | 44c | 34.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 45c | 28.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 27.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Team Lynx | 50c | 26.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…031fbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 24.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Team Lynx | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 20.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group ATeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.