TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62ca…1277

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick11cpaid+149.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$258
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$255
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+550.7%+$321.64
1H Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$106.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+122.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+928.9%+$779.28
Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-8.5)backed California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+875.6%+$718
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Spread: Grand Canyon Antelopes (-3.5)backed Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$246
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Metizport (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86.82
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick14cpaid+285.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+290.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.