NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d4919809b75fa352b50144042cc3571823786aad7bc1355c83e3d3b0b171ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,015 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa729…9326backed Over | 50c | 44,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 38,748$17,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,580.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…6a85backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf583…c1fdbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…7995backed Over | 50c | 19,472$9,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,736 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…b8c3backed Over | 50c | 19,320$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,660 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 54c | 13,941$7,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,413.03 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 56c | 13,660$7,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.39 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf210…b75bbacked Over | 50c | 13,459$6,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,729.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…a8bebacked Under | 50c | 13,012$6,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,506 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…5ecebacked Under | 50c | 12,426$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…88bbbacked Under | 50c | 11,384$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,692 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…3a30backed Under | 50c | 10,962$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Over | 54c | 9,534$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.65 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…8e4dbacked Under | 50c | 9,078$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…818abacked Over | 50c | 8,624$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…a78bbacked Under | 50c | 7,647$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…c01ebacked Over | 50c | 7,042$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Over | 60c | 6,721$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…6a75backed Over | 50c | 6,398$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c46…70e7backed Under | 50c | 5,368$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…bd63backed Under | 50c | 5,342$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 5,297$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.08 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…89bebacked Over | 50c | 5,272$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…762fbacked Under | 50c | 5,268$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 5,020$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe52…33e9backed Under | 50c | 4,989$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…2973backed Under | 50c | 4,942$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…0177backed Over | 50c | 4,852$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…db90backed Over | 50c | 4,830$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…b252backed Over | 50c | 4,786$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…deeebacked Under | 50c | 4,782$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…4b8ebacked Over | 50c | 4,708$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…cfaabacked Under | 50c | 4,696$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…7261backed Over | 50c | 4,687$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…de5abacked Under | 50c | 4,650$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…7eb4backed Under | 50c | 4,564$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…b16fbacked Over | 50c | 4,482$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…fd76backed Under | 50c | 4,348$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…7cf7backed Over | 50c | 4,342$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…064abacked Under | 50c | 4,324$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…76c3backed Over | 50c | 4,308$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…ee89backed Over | 50c | 4,274$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…cdc5backed Under | 49c | 4,211$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a449backed Over | 50c | 4,034$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Under | 2c | 4,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b16…6eb5backed Under | 50c | 3,974$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…69f0backed Under | 50c | 3,936$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccd…6aaebacked Under | 50c | 3,916$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 3,787$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.89 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1de…4a84backed Under | 50c | 3,498$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…f08ebacked Under | 50c | 3,456$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…7e92backed Over | 50c | 3,167$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…b65ebacked Over | 50c | 3,093$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3acf…2921backed Under | 50c | 3,064$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…101dbacked Under | 48c | 2,992$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…3f3ebacked Under | 48c | 2,928$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf996…5be2backed Under | 50c | 2,920$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…844ebacked Over | 52c | 2,888$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…0a6ebacked Over | 52c | 2,844$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…f632backed Under | 48c | 2,843$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…b15dbacked Under | 50c | 2,832$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,813$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…42e7backed Over | 52c | 2,805$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c29…8286backed Over | 52c | 2,798$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…5744backed Under | 50c | 2,724$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 52c | 2,718$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.54 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…6bfdbacked Over | 52c | 2,679$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…e88ebacked Under | 50c | 2,652$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…c972backed Under | 48c | 2,611$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…3001backed Under | 48c | 2,608$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…0ecbbacked Under | 50c | 2,606$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…2b80backed Under | 48c | 2,595$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…8b59backed Over | 52c | 2,563$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 2,562$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.17 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…9928backed Over | 50c | 2,516$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,511$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…2984backed Over | 50c | 2,490$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0701…5f39backed Under | 50c | 2,470$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d92bbacked Under | 50c | 2,468$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…8382backed Under | 50c | 2,456$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…de59backed Over | 51c | 2,394$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…4ac3backed Under | 50c | 2,360$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…3ce9backed Under | 50c | 2,343$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…6175backed Over | 50c | 2,335$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…b869backed Under | 50c | 2,265$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…7072backed Over | 50c | 2,262$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…3cdcbacked Over | 50c | 2,252$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…0b81backed Over | 50c | 2,245$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…82aabacked Under | 50c | 2,230$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…13bfbacked Over | 50c | 2,166$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under | 47c | 2,118$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 2,030$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…0dc0backed Under | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…1cdabacked Under | 50c | 1,931$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…818cbacked Over | 50c | 1,892$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…ee3bbacked Over | 51c | 1,890$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…fa99backed Over | 51c | 1,863$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. GrizzliesCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.