NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560a49f17290fba00e41a80c6687f7fd9f236347b6563d2847232277284a34f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $752,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,692 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 396,685$203,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,517.27 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 114,403$59,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,201.84 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 100,000$48,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,599.95 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 96,375$46,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,353.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 93,235$45,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,824.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 75,734$37,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,624.46 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 51,777$24,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,895.69 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 25,700$13,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,277.68 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 20,005$9,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,287.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 14,140$6,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,197 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 8,495$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.45 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 7,789$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.21 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 7,205$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 5,428$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.73 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 52c | 5,073$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.74 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 3,868$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Over | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 52c | 3,493$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.33 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 3,288$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.9 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 2,603$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.02 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 49c | 2,562$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.57 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 53c | 2,527$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.85 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 2,287$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.56 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,955$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.82 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 49c | 1,850$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,731$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.38 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 1,560$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.36 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 1,551$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.02 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Under | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Under | 49c | 1,419$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 1,407$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.34 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Over | 50c | 1,399$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Over | 51c | 1,348$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.14 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,310$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 1,192$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 53c | 1,120$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.58 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 926.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.03 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 53c | 877.31$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.02 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 49c | 849.84$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.42 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 786.93$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.32 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 54c | 727.54$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.3 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Over | 51c | 681.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.82 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 681.24$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.77 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 672.05$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.73 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 55c | 670.95$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.88 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 653$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.08 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 625.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 590.37$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 52c | 463$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.28 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 431.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 48c | 412.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.59 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 409.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Over | 52c | 403.83$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 53c | 398.06$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 52c | 334$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 50c | 327.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 285.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 51c | 281.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 274.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 52c | 267$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 260.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 49c | 258.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 19c | 253.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 232.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Over | 51c | 205.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked Over | 53c | 205.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Over | 52c | 202$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 53c | 187.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 45c | 174$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 46c | 174$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 53c | 173.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 50c | 162.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 23c | 162.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Under | 50c | 158.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Under | 46c | 158$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 50c | 152.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. GrizzliesCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.