NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44e70a79d4e31537a5c9a399238782f4db33ea1baee873b2ac99ce022453e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Celtics, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 47c | 74,767$35,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,626.77 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 53c | 37,651$19,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,814.39 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 61c | 20,869$12,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,732 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Celtics | 53c | 14,632$7,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,815.16 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbe…6911backed Grizzlies | 47c | 12,189$5,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 53c | 9,768$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 53c | 9,427$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.67 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Celtics | 53c | 6,760$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 6,460$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.4 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…34a1backed Grizzlies | 47c | 5,102$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 44c | 4,550$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 4,349$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.5 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…1e32backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,772$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…ed53backed Celtics | 53c | 3,772$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 3,660$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.74 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 46c | 3,620$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.69 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,371$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.84 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,180$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Celtics | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Celtics | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 64c | 2,247$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.82 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Grizzlies | 66c | 2,223$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.83 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,123$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.1 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics | 54c | 1,972$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.29 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics | 55c | 1,340$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,289$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 49c | 1,170$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…d28dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,129$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.65 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 1,108$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Celtics | 54c | 1,020$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.52 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Celtics | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Celtics | 52c | 934.63$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.63 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Celtics | 53c | 770.42$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…e7f9backed Grizzlies | 47c | 770$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…15fcbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 691$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…3235backed Grizzlies | 47c | 653$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…1fd3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 630$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Grizzlies | 13c | 600$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…8818backed Grizzlies | 47c | 588$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 58c | 575.17$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Celtics | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 55c | 563$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 562.22$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Grizzlies | 50c | 526.84$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Celtics | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 42c | 491.07$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 53c | 455.66$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 455.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Celtics | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Grizzlies | 14c | 390.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Celtics | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…2461backed Grizzlies | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 55c | 352$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Celtics | 49c | 348.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Celtics | 55c | 343.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…afb8backed Grizzlies | 47c | 341$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 318.11$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtics | 36c | 308.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Grizzlies | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…8f9cbacked Celtics | 54c | 240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Grizzlies | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Celtics | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Celtics | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1e49backed Celtics | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Celtics | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 175.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 155.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 53c | 151.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Celtics | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Grizzlies | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…9d09backed Celtics | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Celtics | 53c | 112.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 107.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed Grizzlies | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies | 45c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Celtics | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Grizzlies | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Celtics | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Grizzlies | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Grizzlies | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Celtics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Celtics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Celtics | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Celtics | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 91.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. GrizzliesCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.