NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd67e036fea913bb02e5312554767dfc900c7f85b2082de7d1335ede969deb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,858 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 152,005$76,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,570.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 126,084$62,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,441.88 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 82,608$41,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,942.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Over | 51c | 65,077$33,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,189.01 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 59,006$29,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,534.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 56,659$28,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,763.09 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 49c | 56,316$27,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,594.84 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 43,968$21,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,929.88 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Over | 48c | 37,382$18,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,004.77 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 49c | 36,217$17,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,746.29 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 7,332$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 5,540$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.48 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 5,506$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.63 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 4,683$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.26 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 3,955$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Under | 51c | 3,700$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 3,682$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,663$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 3,446$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 3,336$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.99 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 50c | 3,150$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.21 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 51c | 2,706$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 50c | 2,667$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.5 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 2,515$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.49 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 51c | 2,361$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.08 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 50c | 2,133$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.7 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 46c | 2,124$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.04 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 2,074$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,895$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 23c | 1,644$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Over | 48c | 1,365$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.21 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 49c | 1,308$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 48c | 1,199$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.64 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 50c | 1,126$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 48c | 1,072$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Under | 78c | 1,006$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 51c | 999.35$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.68 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 998$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 50c | 767.94$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.97 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 636.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.02 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Under | 49c | 623$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.73 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 595$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.45 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 50c | 556.36$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.18 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 50c | 551.9$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.95 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Under | 49c | 464.83$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 50c | 413.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 48c | 357.15$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 349.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 50c | 332$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Over | 51c | 314$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 49c | 304.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 47c | 288.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 50c | 242$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 217.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 51c | 208.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Under | 49c | 198.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 50c | 193.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…4629backed Under | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c407backed Under | 49c | 167.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 50c | 167$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Under | 49c | 167$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 49c | 167$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Under | 49c | 167$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Under | 50c | 167$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 53c | 165.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 151.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked Over | 50c | 150.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 53c | 146.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 51c | 141.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 49c | 141$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 113.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 52c | 110.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 52c | 106.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 100.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Under | 53c | 100.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 51c | 98.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 88.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 50c | 87.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 50c | 72.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. GrizzliesCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.