TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9700…0e70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
221
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT14446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Max Muncy be named the 2025 World Series MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Padres (-1.5)backed Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,298
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$391.58
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$608
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$954
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,820
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$585
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,928.2
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$912
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$600
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$987
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$645
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
Athletics vs. Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.96
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$936
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$465
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$752
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$527.82
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$432
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$416
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$506
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$728
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$598
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2025 WNBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+203%+$112.84
Sky vs. Mercurybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$939.99
Dream vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,538.99
Dream vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.89
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$457.14
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.71
Aces vs Libertybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.39
Wings vs Mercurybacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.02
Aces vs Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.42
Storm vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,138.5
Aces vs Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$792
Sky vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Liberty vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$486.75
Liberty vs Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$552
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+102.6%+$1,129.85
Sparks vs Skybacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$489
Lynx vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$1,841.3
Liberty vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+89%+$1,468.2
Fever vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$590.14
Liberty vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$686.7
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.36
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,726
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,887Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,813
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,316
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$823
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,450
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$982.47
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$900
Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,400
Nets vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.8
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$653
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$1,553.45
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$310
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,820
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$569.08
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$708.18
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,107.97
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,190
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Urbinabacked Urbina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
UFC Fight Night: Fernandes vs. Stoliarenkobacked Stoliarenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$1,400
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Brener · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,227
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollebacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. Lealbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$902
UFC Fight Night: Aslan vs. Elekanabacked Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$1,368
UFC 317 Parlay: Topuria + Pantojabacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,495.99
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,143.99
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverickbacked Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$699.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.43
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,288.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Osakabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$201
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Iran on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$276
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USC make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.