UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hill

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b436f7763f4eaca2b9e5a055e311bb6f6e8f4633015061901a00f8b685ce0c

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lucindoof Lucindo, Hill
Resolved: Aug 9, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $404,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $408,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,778 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x011f…b3dfbacked Lucindo	65c	322,534$209,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112,627.22	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Hill	35c	142,454$49,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,858.8	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Hill	35c	69,600$24,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,360	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Hill	35c	31,958$11,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,190.2	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hill	36c	28,300$10,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,057	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Lucindo	62c	27,390$17,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,374.29	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hill	26c	20,745$5,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,380.1	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Lucindo	78c	14,957$11,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,234.25	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Hill	34c	11,000$3,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,770	202	49%99 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Lucindo	63c	10,506$6,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,887.25	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Hill	37c	7,489$2,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,770.93	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Hill	35c	7,390$2,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,580.4	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Hill	36c	7,021$2,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,527.56	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	58cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hill	39c	6,689$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600.04	160	49.4%79 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hill	32c	5,454$1,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,755.23	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Hill	31c	5,339$1,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,652.02	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Hill	35c	4,280$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Lucindo	64c	4,103$2,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,488.02	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Hill	35c	3,400$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Hill	36c	3,161$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.41	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Hill	37c	3,038$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.45	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Hill	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Hill	35c	2,778$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.16	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Hill	39c	2,560$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.4	137	35.8%49 W · 88 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Hill	38c	2,524$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.03	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Lucindo	62c	2,359$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.76	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hill	36c	2,277$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.19	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hill	35c	2,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Hill	39c	1,827$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.42	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hill	36c	1,773$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.61	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Lucindo	61c	1,724$1,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.39	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hill	34c	1,636$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.36	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Hill	35c	1,516$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.6	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Lucindo	66c	1,400$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Hill	35c	1,314$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hill	35c	1,305$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.25	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Hill	32c	1,103$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Lucindo	66c	1,058$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.85	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Hill	35c	1,007$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.62	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Lucindo	63c	999.99$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Hill	39c	992.08$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.91	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Hill	20c	971$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.49	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Lucindo	63c	952.38$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.38	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+8.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Hill	34c	938.44$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.56	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Hill	39c	806.57$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.56	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Lucindo	72c	750$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Hill	28c	727.6$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Hill	33c	678$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.62	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-4.9wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hill	36c	650.61$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.83	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Lucindo	63c	650$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.5	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Hill	39c	641.03$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Lucindo	62c	550$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Hill	30c	507.13$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.11	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06ac…79ecbacked Lucindo	63c	500$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc352…51e3backed Hill	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Hill	39c	500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb669…e0e2backed Hill	35c	421.89$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Hill	37c	405.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Lucindo	63c	400$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Lucindo	65c	365.98$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.21	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Lucindo	65c	350$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Lucindo	65c	338.46$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.46	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Hill	35c	290$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hill	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lucindo	76c	266.65$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.66	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Lucindo	63c	250$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Hill	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Lucindo	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Lucindo	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Lucindo	66c	194.77$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.22	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc485…948dbacked Lucindo	62c	193.4$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.04	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Hill	34c	190.23$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.68	168	51.8%87 W · 81 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x293d…3ef4backed Hill	40c	181.44$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.18	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Hill	35c	164.57$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+50%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Lucindo	66c	159.73$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.31	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Hill	35c	150$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lucindo	68c	138.45$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.82	210	31.9%67 W · 143 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Lucindo	66c	136.36$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.36	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hill	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	111	38.7%43 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8540…ee5dbacked Hill	39c	108.17$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Hill	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Hill	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Hill	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Hill	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Hill	35c	99.89$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Lucindo	66c	90.91$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.91	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee99…80e6backed Lucindo	62c	85$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Hill	35c	80.23$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.08	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f4…4d20backed Hill	39c	77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Hill	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9965…80e3backed Lucindo	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Lucindo	62c	75$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfee…64bbbacked Hill	31c	74.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Lucindo	67c	74.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Hill	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Lucindo	63c	63.49$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Lucindo	66c	60.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9083…d27bbacked Lucindo	66c	60.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	151	39.7%60 W · 91 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e2…17a9backed Lucindo	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Hill	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillthis page
UFC Fight Night: Anders vs. DuncanDuncan won
UFC Fight Night: Brundage vs. McConicoMcConico won
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. HernandezHernandez won
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. CachoeiraEdwards won
UFC Fight Night: Erceg vs. OsbourneErceg won
UFC Fight Night: Fernandes vs. StoliarenkoFernandes won
UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. RodriguezFili won
UFC Fight Night: Johns vs. MatsumotoMatsumoto won
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. UrbinaMedic won
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. KazamaSmith won
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. CerqueiraWalker won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hill

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event