TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8330…b3b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
531
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT37233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 372 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobollibacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.46
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Wimbledon WTA: Lois Boisson vs Elena Rybakinabacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatekbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.69
Wimbledon WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Wimbledon WTA: Mimi Xu vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Mimi Xu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osakabacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$137.98
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$67.5
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$108.79
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 372 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.93
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$74.67
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$37.25
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$173.97
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.09
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$122.2
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.73
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$260
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.54
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.3
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$181.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.67
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$459.46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+185.3%+$92.64
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$375
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Avalanche vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$18.07
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.29
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$70.4
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Vera vs. Zahabibacked Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillbacked Lucindo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. Rodriguezbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Johns vs. Matsumotobacked Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Cerqueirabacked Cerqueira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Fernandes vs. Stoliarenkobacked Stoliarenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Brener · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollebacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.97
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+525%+$52.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$232.13
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.32
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$77.91
Will Bologna vs. Torino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Inter vs. Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Inter win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.51
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.28
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$60.5
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.