TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,805 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No73c61,093$44,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,192.992,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c21,016$6,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,296.926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes28c17,849$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.71643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c17,398$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,847.971,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c11,870$9,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.964,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes27c10,256$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8006230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes29c6,903$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.998448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes29c5,603$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.761,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No72c4,090$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.332763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes28c3,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No73c3,150$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes28c3,148$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.52420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No72c3,062$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9625544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes28c2,821$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes8c2,071$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No72c1,900$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes28c1,865$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5154932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes28c1,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50410838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c1,642$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.862,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes28c1,511$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9810626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed Yes28c1,503$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes31c1,473$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes13c1,429$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes14c1,216$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.491,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a9…5e9ebacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes7c1,111$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes9c988.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c700.02$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes29c690.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c666.1$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.911,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes28c643.93$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No72c634.82$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0427141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes28c571.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Yes28c535.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.992030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd4…c0febacked Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes8c437.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes28c417.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11735428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5abb…4bb4backed Yes29c341.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No71c336.99$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No78c335.42$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No69c333.75$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.758445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes28c333$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2417337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes14c321.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed No72c313.89$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes31c310.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.182330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c296.67$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5557150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8e…eaddbacked Yes11c291.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No72c281$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.681,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.973852.6%20 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Yes26c263.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Yes27c255.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes26c227$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.023129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Yes29c225.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.46633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes29c204.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a3…91bbbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585048%24 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes33c196.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbef8…7445backed Yes28c187.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes27c181.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b2…7575backed Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes28c179.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+107.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes26c176.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e6…64dbbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked No74c160.4$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.72240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed No72c160$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.87057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes32c157.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3212741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes22c155.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.54261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c146.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.21,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x529c…4795backed Yes27c144.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes28c142.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8536554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c138.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c129.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes15c129.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.940821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.