TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecaa…a779

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 67 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 67 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.81
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+262.3%+$362
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$193
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+214%+$136.3
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$95.73
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.98
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.84
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.98
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$133.36
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$130.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$46.51
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2875%21 W · 7 L+8.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+100.5%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$194
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$116.41
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.64
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$318
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$249
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+900%+$270
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+408.5%+$482
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$128.92
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$120
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$64.83
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$116.72
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.57
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$113.73
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$111.29
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$172.36
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.32
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$181.13
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.01
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.38
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.69
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$302
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$143.54
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.18
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$128.81
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.25
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$48.95
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.51
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+80%+$98.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.3
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.55
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick41cpaid+89.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$101.65
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$111
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$109.54
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.84
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$118
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$79
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$252
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+148.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,370.5%+$464.11
Will NS RedForce win Masters Santiago 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.51
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.88
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.89
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$218.8
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.64
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$267
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.