Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9fcf45337800825ccc7ac43ac8212c848206d4d48650cab271f64308af603d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Tundra Esports, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,803 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 37,599$17,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,295.38 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 53c | 36,468$19,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,125.49 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 35,784$15,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,897.55 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 16,854$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 16,404$9,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,815.75 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 63c | 14,223$8,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.91 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 54c | 13,299$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.55 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 19c | 10,857$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.6 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 10,123$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.31 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 8,483$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.37 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 54c | 8,447$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.81 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 52c | 7,488$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.67 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 7,399$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 53c | 7,260$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.4 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 55c | 6,460$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.56 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 6,440$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.82 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit | 53c | 5,937$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.11 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 5,800$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 5,637$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.3 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 4,913$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.17 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 4,500$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.49 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 4,261$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.73 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 4,200$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 4,126$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 3,718$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.72 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 3,666$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.83 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 3,582$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.25 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Team Spirit | 57c | 3,579$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.95 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 3,557$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 3,196$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.35 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 3,051$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.81 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 3,050$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Spirit | 52c | 3,014$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.57 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…51b0backed Team Spirit | 58c | 2,911$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 2,663$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.74 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,359$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.57 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 2,100$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.95 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,057$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.81 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 2,005$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.75 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 2,004$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.73 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,854$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.54 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,730$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.6 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.81 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 1,384$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.75 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,332$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.36 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,309$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.95 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 80c | 1,305$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.53 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,300$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.88 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,259$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 1,213$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.95 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,205$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 1,203$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.06 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.89 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,196$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,188$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.89 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,177$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.71 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 76c | 1,157$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.61 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 58c | 1,122$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.47 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,101$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.02 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.01 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…ce06backed Team Spirit | 55c | 999.98$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 999.87$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.94 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…9f1ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 989.49$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 974.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Team Spirit | 74c | 911.72$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 68c | 900$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.04 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 871.11$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 834.63$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 56c | 828.67$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.11 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 53c | 786.65$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.26 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 53c | 775.71$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.93 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 54c | 737.02$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.03 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 732.67$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 730$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Spirit | 56c | 708.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.02 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 687.93$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.93 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Team Spirit | 74c | 680$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 666.63$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Spirit | 79c | 637.44$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 608.13$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Spirit | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 577.47$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Team Spirit | 53c | 558.89$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.68 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed Team Spirit | 64c | 538.52$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 535.51$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Spirit | 73c | 521.12$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Tundra Esports | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 498.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Team Spirit | 61c | 495.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 490.94$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.