Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d2ffb23055dd84076a8133e48a71588c05ffe016020e3672672f4e4a9e3dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Tundra Esports, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,464 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 59c | 78,375$45,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,420.76 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 17,800$7,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,654 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 17,442$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 17,033$6,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,983.36 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 8,900$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.96 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 8,394$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.06 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Tundra Esports | 4c | 6,126$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.21 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Team Spirit | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Spirit | 58c | 5,399$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 5,184$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.08 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 5,167$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Team Spirit | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 5,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit | 60c | 5,000$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.98 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 58c | 4,860$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.35 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…b327backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 4,330$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Team Spirit | 57c | 4,077$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 4,063$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.99 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 3,934$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.67 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Team Spirit | 60c | 3,650$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 3,410$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.29 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,366$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 3,352$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.35 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 3,290$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.07 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…4262backed Tundra Esports | 3c | 3,091$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,085$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.54 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 3,022$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,529$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.38 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 77c | 2,476$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.62 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Team Spirit | 59c | 2,441$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.68 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 2,347$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.11 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 2,346$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,112$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 2,040$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…9279backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8894…085cbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…184dbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 2,000$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 1,796$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.38 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 1,795$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.45 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,767$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.97 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,759$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.04 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…474ebacked Tundra Esports | 7c | 1,715$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,700$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.99 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,415$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.84 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,384$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,305$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.05 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,251$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,200$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.72 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,039$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 1,032$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,002$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 975$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 925.96$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.95 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…f56abacked Tundra Esports | 22c | 908.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 899.92$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.97 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…db51backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 868.02$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit | 57c | 844.74$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.9 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…41f2backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 823.09$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 788.75$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.28 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…ebfbbacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 739$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 707.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…1c1dbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 702$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Team Spirit | 57c | 699.96$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 687.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Spirit | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…df64backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 671.84$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 661.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…831cbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 660.33$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.72 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Spirit | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 651.13$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 643.59$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 637.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 633.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed Team Spirit | 59c | 615$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 609.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…f7f7backed Team Spirit | 78c | 577.37$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…6774backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 562.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Spirit | 60c | 551.67$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.67 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 528.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Team Spirit | 58c | 516.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…e565backed Tundra Esports | 7c | 512$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…60febacked Team Spirit | 78c | 511.54$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 501.3$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.44 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Team Spirit | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.