Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf43917c8c91ae1b82f38933b8eedc07e3395e3ba216bed41acc82db87ab57d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Tundra Esports, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,288 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 42,849$21,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,690.73 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 54c | 39,818$21,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,318.61 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit | 49c | 29,450$14,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,052.22 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 24,500$12,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,879.46 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 11,867$5,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,064.51 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…2574backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 10,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 46c | 9,672$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.46 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 55c | 8,212$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.69 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 5,825$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 8c | 5,723$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.76 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 4,762$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 4,685$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.35 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 4,597$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.61 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 4,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 3,953$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.92 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 68c | 3,579$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.26 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…51b0backed Team Spirit | 50c | 3,286$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Spirit | 68c | 3,046$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.35 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 3,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 2,968$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.58 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,830$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,741$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 2,603$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Spirit | 60c | 2,431$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.51 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,303$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.91 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 49c | 2,140$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.32 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,000$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.89 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,933$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.1 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,856$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.6 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…14e0backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,793$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,514$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,471$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.7 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,400$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,306$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.21 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,254$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Tundra Esports | 4c | 1,202$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,099$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.74 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 1,080$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 1,078$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.08 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Tundra Esports | 4c | 1,072$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,068$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.84 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,042$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.53 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3becbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 989.36$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 987.96$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.98 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 985$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 979.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit | 47c | 950$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.5 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 944.27$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.28 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Tundra Esports | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Tundra Esports | 15c | 868.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Spirit | 50c | 830$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.1 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Spirit | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…c9f4backed Team Spirit | 55c | 709.04$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.07 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 696.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…3500backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 681.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 679.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 67c | 675.27$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 621.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.9 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 49c | 618.26$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.26 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed Team Spirit | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 616.39$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 572.5$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 532.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 521.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.03 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 49c | 511.49$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 503.16$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.42 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 493$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.64 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 469.14$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 58c | 463.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 429.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 425.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 49c | 412.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…2540backed Team Spirit | 49c | 397.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 397.28$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 396.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45e…d7ecbacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 383.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 359.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 355.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Tundra Esports | 8c | 350$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 340$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.88 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Team Spirit | 51c | 330.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Team Spirit | 47c | 300.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 299.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Team Spirit | 50c | 296.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 280$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 278.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…47aabacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 276.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.