TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xad72…4f5e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,576
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT75942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 759 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$110.66
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,749.05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$615.82
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,020.12
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winnerbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$828
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$900
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,097.63
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117%+$1,389.08
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 Winnerbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,102.87
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,281.47
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$301.49
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$5,353.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.92
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.38
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.08
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.16
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003.2
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.5
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.67
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+270.5%+$927.18
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,529Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,293.2
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$575.01
Showing 25 of 759 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT36851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 368 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.87
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,781.85
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457.34
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$1,365.25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$580.37
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.13
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,395.95
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.95
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$825
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.88
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,197.34
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$1,236.42
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.25
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$920.04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$295.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,779Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$1,097.61
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,025.04
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+45%+$303
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$263.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$1,599.96
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$500.4
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$1,805.08
Showing 25 of 368 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT24538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 245 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.18
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.49
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Walczaki (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.64
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.75
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.44
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$614.11
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.31
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.79
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$465.96
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$4,980.18
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.73
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.2
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+264.7%+$448.85
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,264.14
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96%+$231.16
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+535.4%+$965.6
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+477.9%+$1,020.85
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.92
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 2 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.4
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$923.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$3,656.96
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,683.06
Showing 25 of 245 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT19157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Valorant — the 191 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,373.77
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Team Weibo (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$173.64
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Dbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.5
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$224.59
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.98
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.61
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$672.67
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$1,568.4
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+400%+$479.99
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$467.04
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$463.68
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,713.77
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$616.7
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.18
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$240.04
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$274.35
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,694Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$1,853.77
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$443.75
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+64%+$1,419.73
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,349.61
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$485.66
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.71
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.54
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,646Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$1,902.75
Showing 25 of 191 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Rockets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$115.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.