TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,128,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,292,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,128,584 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,018 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed JD Gaming62c40,328$25,153 inWon+$15,174.5864155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked JD Gaming54c38,500$20,747 inWon+$17,753.22,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Weibo Gaming42c27,100$11,253 inLost-$11,253.149750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Weibo Gaming47c22,222$10,444 inLost-$10,444.353750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed Weibo Gaming40c21,708$8,683 inLost-$8,683.1318633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Weibo Gaming36c20,265$7,200 inLost-$7,20017729.9%53 W · 124 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Weibo Gaming42c20,180$8,541 inLost-$8,541.2327735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Weibo Gaming47c18,510$8,692 inLost-$8,692.3538235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked JD Gaming58c18,443$10,787 inWon+$7,655.4814549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac2c…7774backed JD Gaming49c17,026$8,306 inWon+$8,720.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Weibo Gaming34c15,659$5,307 inLost-$5,306.8315033.3%50 W · 100 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Weibo Gaming38c13,311$5,088 inLost-$5,087.681,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Weibo Gaming43c13,305$5,749 inLost-$5,749.0575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249a…52e5backed JD Gaming59c12,200$7,228 inWon+$4,971.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+234.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4916…5442backed JD Gaming67c11,905$7,937 inWon+$3,9684560%27 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed JD Gaming60c11,600$6,960 inWon+$4,6401,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed JD Gaming40c11,431$4,596 inWon+$6,835.577248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Weibo Gaming41c10,905$4,477 inLost-$4,477.4215356.9%87 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed JD Gaming52c10,360$5,424 inWon+$4,936.2510253.9%55 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Weibo Gaming49c10,316$5,016 inLost-$5,016.351,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed JD Gaming59c10,149$6,017 inWon+$4,132.8436752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked JD Gaming56c10,032$5,637 inWon+$4,39598956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Weibo Gaming45c10,020$4,559 inLost-$4,558.5930845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Weibo Gaming40c9,939$3,938 inLost-$3,937.666246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked JD Gaming57c9,300$5,301 inWon+$3,998.9967250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Weibo Gaming32c9,263$3,000 inLost-$2,999.9951348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed JD Gaming60c8,623$5,167 inWon+$3,455.2539964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Weibo Gaming48c8,408$4,000 inLost-$4,00016258%94 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1887…f75dbacked Weibo Gaming47c8,210$3,832 inLost-$3,831.5112945.7%59 W · 70 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Weibo Gaming42c7,823$3,308 inLost-$3,308.2657246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Weibo Gaming28c7,009$1,978 inLost-$1,978.441,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8f…de20backed JD Gaming57c6,871$3,913 inWon+$2,957.1112652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ab…2f5abacked Weibo Gaming5c6,866$329 inLost-$328.666934.8%24 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked JD Gaming45c6,644$3,000 inWon+$3,643.5235353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Weibo Gaming36c6,618$2,390 inLost-$2,389.7546637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked JD Gaming59c6,510$3,824 inWon+$2,686.4416047.5%76 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4956backed JD Gaming52c6,493$3,355 inWon+$3,138.0117751.4%91 W · 86 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed JD Gaming60c6,000$3,600 inWon+$2,40082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed JD Gaming60c6,000$3,600 inWon+$2,40021144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed JD Gaming53c6,000$3,180 inWon+$2,819.9943442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Weibo Gaming42c6,000$2,520 inLost-$2,519.9249940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Weibo Gaming50c5,951$2,947 inLost-$2,94718742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Weibo Gaming38c5,775$2,195 inLost-$2,194.552538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Weibo Gaming58c5,750$3,335 inLost-$3,334.993429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Weibo Gaming46c5,721$2,646 inLost-$2,645.5621056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed JD Gaming61c5,472$3,335 inWon+$2,137.4159554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed JD Gaming61c5,280$3,200 inWon+$2,079.6146257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed JD Gaming65c5,271$3,431 inWon+$1,839.6714035.7%50 W · 90 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5df…be66backed Weibo Gaming40c5,130$2,052 inLost-$2,0521030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked JD Gaming56c5,050$2,828 inWon+$2,2224050%20 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Weibo Gaming40c5,035$2,000 inLost-$2,00022757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Weibo Gaming39c5,001$1,950 inLost-$1,950.3270%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Weibo Gaming38c5,000$1,900 inLost-$1,90017133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Weibo Gaming48c5,000$2,400 inLost-$2,40032440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed JD Gaming61c5,000$3,050 inWon+$1,949.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Weibo Gaming60c4,989$2,993 inLost-$2,993.4791854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked JD Gaming60c4,869$2,945 inWon+$1,924.574353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed JD Gaming80c4,728$3,782 inWon+$945.5754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26c5…8813backed JD Gaming67c4,666$3,115 inWon+$1,550.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed JD Gaming60c4,528$2,717 inWon+$1,811.157958.2%46 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Weibo Gaming46c4,500$2,060 inLost-$2,06030945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked JD Gaming57c4,348$2,500 inWon+$1,848.4913333.8%45 W · 88 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Weibo Gaming37c4,347$1,622 inLost-$1,622.11,30138.6%502 W · 799 L-65.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe478…610ebacked Weibo Gaming2c4,276$71 inLost-$71.27735.5%4 W · 69 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-64.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Weibo Gaming43c4,067$1,750 inLost-$1,750.2189943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked JD Gaming62c4,052$2,492 inWon+$1,559.8449541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Weibo Gaming40c4,002$1,601 inLost-$1,600.61,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed JD Gaming64c3,909$2,509 inWon+$1,399.9846436.4%169 W · 295 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe4…e7b2backed JD Gaming80c3,900$3,120 inWon+$779.995750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked JD Gaming65c3,890$2,512 inWon+$1,377.9733949%166 W · 173 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked JD Gaming59c3,829$2,254 inWon+$1,574.891,05447.2%497 W · 557 L-4.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4b…787abacked JD Gaming53c3,774$2,000 inWon+$1,773.58771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed JD Gaming53c3,681$1,951 inWon+$1,730.213351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed JD Gaming68c3,653$2,493 inWon+$1,159.9225074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Weibo Gaming56c3,557$2,000 inLost-$2,0008047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked JD Gaming52c3,507$1,809 inWon+$1,698.4683460.8%507 W · 327 L+44.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Weibo Gaming48c3,486$1,689 inLost-$1,688.5310949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Weibo Gaming29c3,450$1,009 inLost-$1,00953139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Weibo Gaming59c3,439$2,035 inLost-$2,034.987758.4%45 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6491…c1d0backed JD Gaming53c3,420$1,812 inWon+$1,607.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked JD Gaming62c3,400$2,102 inWon+$1,297.8221754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed JD Gaming57c3,350$1,908 inWon+$1,442.041,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked JD Gaming58c3,317$1,934 inWon+$1,383.0766845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Weibo Gaming40c3,265$1,306 inLost-$1,3069823.5%23 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Weibo Gaming44c3,255$1,432 inLost-$1,43237640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed JD Gaming54c3,092$1,670 inWon+$1,422.244461.4%27 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed JD Gaming67c3,080$2,050 inWon+$1,029.7818467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked JD Gaming40c3,000$1,200 inWon+$1,8005448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Weibo Gaming38c3,000$1,140 inLost-$1,14044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Weibo Gaming43c2,970$1,282 inLost-$1,281.7144851.8%232 W · 216 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Weibo Gaming41c2,844$1,166 inLost-$1,165.940933.7%138 W · 271 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Weibo Gaming41c2,757$1,122 inLost-$1,122.033740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked JD Gaming63c2,720$1,720 inWon+$999.4849841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed JD Gaming72c2,682$1,920 inWon+$761.9866058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed JD Gaming59c2,606$1,546 inWon+$1,060.241,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f9…e901backed Weibo Gaming17c2,586$440 inLost-$4401040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef34…2065backed JD Gaming52c2,557$1,338 inWon+$1,219.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8896…7c53backed Weibo Gaming62c2,538$1,570 inLost-$1,569.9118561.1%113 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked JD Gaming77c2,529$1,955 inWon+$573.6667553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed JD Gaming53c2,500$1,325 inWon+$1,1754431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.