TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x000e…f7e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
915
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT89943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 899 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.03
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,763.97
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,136.57
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.77
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,273.02
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,105.99
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,350
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.62
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12,568Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$14,232
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,275.71
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,600
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.28
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,883.97
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$1,725.93
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,113.43
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$1,241.22
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,124.44
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,479.99
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,790
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Showing 25 of 899 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,599.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,800
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,120
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,884.97
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.99
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.99
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,191.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.