Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899416113f035c5b3c2fada036a290365456440554ce4eb2b0ee705f46f2b945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Disguised, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Dignitas | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Disguised | 51c | 12,180$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,968.3 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Disguised | 48c | 10,065$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.38 | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Disguised | 53c | 8,458$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.04 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Dignitas | 55c | 7,062$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.2 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Dignitas | 30c | 6,962$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.48 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…5ad0backed Dignitas | 33c | 6,521$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.24 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 77c | 4,187$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.56 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Disguised | 80c | 4,066$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.06 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Dignitas | 60c | 4,019$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.75 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…5336backed Dignitas | 56c | 3,700$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.99 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Disguised | 50c | 3,254$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.53 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Disguised | 69c | 3,114$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.59 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 42c | 3,000$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.93 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dignitas | 42c | 2,883$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.7 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dignitas | 49c | 2,705$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.32 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Disguised | 51c | 2,548$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.56 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Disguised | 78c | 2,198$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.69 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Dignitas | 46c | 2,197$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.37 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Dignitas | 8c | 2,115$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Dignitas | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 273 | 67%183 W · 90 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Disguised | 70c | 1,983$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.84 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…f3aabacked Dignitas | 54c | 1,860$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Disguised | 59c | 1,842$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.22 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Disguised | 51c | 1,815$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.35 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Dignitas | 52c | 1,786$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.4 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Disguised | 56c | 1,773$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.42 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Dignitas | 50c | 1,760$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Dignitas | 54c | 1,749$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.99 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Disguised | 48c | 1,726$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.62 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Dignitas | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…40e6backed Dignitas | 38c | 1,700$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Disguised | 49c | 1,600$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 64c | 1,584$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.93 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Dignitas | 64c | 1,568$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Disguised | 43c | 1,379$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.25 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Disguised | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…8125backed Disguised | 72c | 1,300$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Disguised | 48c | 1,262$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.83 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Disguised | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Dignitas | 36c | 1,236$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 311 | 50.2%156 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Dignitas | 55c | 1,171$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Disguised | 71c | 1,160$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.43 | 211 | 34.6%73 W · 138 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Dignitas | 53c | 1,152$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.18 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…9900backed Disguised | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Dignitas | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Dignitas | 12c | 999.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Dignitas | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised | 48c | 998.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.48 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Dignitas | 49c | 976.49$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.55 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Disguised | 65c | 936.94$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.73 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed Disguised | 43c | 871$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Disguised | 45c | 857.11$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.84 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Disguised | 58c | 802.79$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.94 | 442 | 45.9%203 W · 239 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dignitas | 38c | 800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed Dignitas | 45c | 793.2$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed Disguised | 51c | 779.08$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.13 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dignitas | 38c | 737.59$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.76 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Disguised | 46c | 651.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Dignitas | 62c | 647.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Disguised | 49c | 644.31$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.6 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dignitas | 34c | 615.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Disguised | 43c | 609.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.72 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Dignitas | 21c | 607.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked Dignitas | 46c | 599.8$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Disguised | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +17.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Disguised | 78c | 573.41$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Disguised | 57c | 548.51$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.23 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dignitas | 39c | 535.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dignitas | 27c | 532.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…4781backed Disguised | 58c | 518.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.74 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dignitas | 20c | 515.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Disguised | 52c | 505$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Dignitas | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed Disguised | 52c | 499.91$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Disguised | 58c | 471.66$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.66 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Dignitas | 52c | 470.31$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.57 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Dignitas | 51c | 468.27$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…ee2abacked Dignitas | 51c | 467$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Disguised | 80c | 444.74$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Dignitas | 52c | 440.92$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Disguised | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Disguised | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…0315backed Dignitas | 57c | 415.46$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Disguised | 53c | 414.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed Disguised | 44c | 400$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Dignitas | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…2df8backed Disguised | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Dignitas | 56c | 400$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.77 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…00d0backed Disguised | 63c | 398.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…db30backed Dignitas | 51c | 372.69$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed Dignitas | 57c | 372$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Disguised | 43c | 367.63$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Dignitas | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Dignitas | 23c | 352.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Disguised | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Disguised | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Disguised | 78c | 340.72$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dignitas | 45c | 328$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Disguised | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DIG (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Disguised won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonDisguised won
- LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerDisguised won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.