TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x333d…e8b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$13.45
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$11.54
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Roland Garros WTA: Claire Liu vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$8.5
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.58
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.1
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$8.15
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$8.64
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borgesbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+36%+$6.61
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Bengaluru 3: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Graybacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$15.7
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$35.3
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+80%+$17.33
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djerebacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+217.2%+$58.2
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Borna Gojobacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.23
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+614.7%+$854.92
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.3
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.42
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.56
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$345.61
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.52
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.7
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.32
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.38
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$159.08
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$499.1
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.36
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$86
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$230.3
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Abacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.68
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$215.74
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$138.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$85
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$259.29
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.68
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.13
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$208.26
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$75.98
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$290.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$42.4
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.46
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.1
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the announcers say "Unbeaten" during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.4
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$12.76
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$31.33
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$9.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$172
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$12.13
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$12.47
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+84.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.