Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4435596b4a944b7e0063d3e5dc342f1ff5fa25011f14bc0cfaf9a46d2b61607f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,875 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes	7c	6,653$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.35	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c9…1c13backed Yes	16c	3,349$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	25c	2,787$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.54	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed No	67c	1,705$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.82	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked No	59c	1,324$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.07	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+168.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes	29c	1,305$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.88	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	24c	999.98$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	23c	714.96$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.76	266	32.7%87 W · 179 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…ac9bbacked Yes	14c	691$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.33	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked No	61c	671.96$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.82	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f89…f715backed Yes	4c	641.52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd096…de63backed Yes	12c	600$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	+19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes	4c	500$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	25c	500$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yes	8c	485.98$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.27	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	475.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	42c	475.69$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.05	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	443.39$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.47	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	35c	379.47$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.71	463	30.2%140 W · 323 L	-20.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed Yes	29c	369.24$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.86	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	13c	312.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.81	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…b5c3backed No	76c	302.9$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.7	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	323	54.2%175 W · 148 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	20c	295.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.39	241	10.8%26 W · 215 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	19c	262.25$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	246	37.4%92 W · 154 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Yes	48c	250$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.75	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	28c	250$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.9	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…511bbacked Yes	5c	250$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c7…806ebacked Yes	26c	240$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.94	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	27c	236$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	102	43.1%44 W · 58 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	31c	230.88$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	37c	229.61$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.91	142	25.4%36 W · 106 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	40c	223.87$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.79	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	78c	222$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.89	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes	19c	219$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No	63c	200$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	132	68.9%91 W · 41 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa821…0bc8backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	36cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked Yes	6c	192$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e7…a1b8backed Yes	32c	186.91$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	33c	184$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-13.1wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x59f7…bf7fbacked Yes	36c	181.28$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	78c	174.13$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.38	990	17.2%170 W · 820 L	-148.8wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd1d8…eb94backed Yes	27c	166$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.19	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb453…bed9backed Yes	8c	160$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	44c	150$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.7	103	44.7%46 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf400…1620backed Yes	33c	139.59$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes	39c	134.12$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.20per pick	38cpaid	-66%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	17c	126$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	146	37%54 W · 92 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	76c	122.72$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.21	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No	77c	116.95$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	71c	113.87$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.56	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	-21.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc205…eec2backed Yes	28c	110$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.13	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf3a…cdddbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked No	66c	95.89$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.92	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bef…3b06backed No	61c	87.78$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.59	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	24c	84.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b38abacked Yes	38c	84$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.88	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	37cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	77c	82.67$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.81	86	43%37 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes	12c	82.42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x333d…e8b7backed Yes	33c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b9…38f8backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	70c	79.99$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.05	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e9…9a18backed Yes	48c	79.43$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa79a…88d0backed Yes	48c	77.01$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0041…967cbacked Yes	37c	70$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	22c	69.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No	76c	68.27$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.63	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34b0…05a6backed Yes	36c	65.35$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.48	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.36per pick	49cpaid	+101.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83fa…d3fbbacked Yes	41c	63$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.25per pick	34cpaid	-74%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58ce…57c4backed Yes	40c	62.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcffc…6cacbacked Yes	37c	61.54$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19e…1db7backed Yes	20c	61.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2057…0629backed Yes	26c	60.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de2…7273backed Yes	24c	60.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfe…4306backed Yes	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…fc2fbacked Yes	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	37c	56.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No	76c	51.01$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.09	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc999…ca09backed Yes	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea31…a889backed Yes	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x608f…9065backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-4.4wins	-0.25per pick	47cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	37c	48.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb0…2b36backed Yes	38c	42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	36cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbf0…9180backed Yes	38c	42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa552…3306backed Yes	38c	42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa74b…3241backed Yes	38c	42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe518…f0fcbacked Yes	38c	42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x417b…82f5backed Yes	36c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a7…20fbbacked Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad30…d3c7backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6da…3699backed Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	32cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a08…1a00backed Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed No	65c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…afaabacked Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc209…7082backed Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	36cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972c…d1a1backed No	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05e…0c97backed Yes	36c	34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x825c…dfa0backed No	63c	33.94$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+159.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
Will Darren Jones be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes won
Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Will Lisa Nandy be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Will Pat McFadden be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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