TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc01f…cd8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7027.1%19 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$1,474.66
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jacqui Smith be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$406.11
Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.83
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.83
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$262.82
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$422.72
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+35%+$86.52
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.28
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,468.97
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.08
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$7,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,455
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,800
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+139.9%+$1,135.26
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT6030%18 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.81
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.09
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+164.8%+$82.38
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$764.56
Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+60%+$60
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$106.71
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$63.82
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.71
Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$1,598.7
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.54
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.42
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chainlink reach $18 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+367.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$186.08
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+76%+$1,901.04
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$128.66
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+4,809.4%+$3,366.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,825%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,825%+$912.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$334.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$282.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.