World Politics · resolved market
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b80250b5ac9a6bcb34445e13e068be63696b421670a2965038641ac4343a191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 74c | 3,999$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes | 63c | 3,402$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed No | 78c | 2,531$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.48 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…27aabacked Yes | 7c | 2,500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,290$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.48 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,135$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1,437 | 10.2%147 W · 1,290 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…963bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,004$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 57c | 1,816$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.91 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +16.5wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 38c | 1,565$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.31 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 72c | 1,344$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.46 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 29c | 1,277$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 38c | 1,061$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 61c | 989.12$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 553 | 34.5%191 W · 362 L | -38.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…8ab9backed No | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 36c | 690.59$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.86 | 251 | 51.8%130 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 32c | 597.22$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.11 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 61c | 595.85$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.55 | 151 | 37.1%56 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8a8abacked Yes | 15c | 595.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…9408backed Yes | 9c | 500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked No | 43c | 464.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 39c | 437.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 177 | 30.5%54 W · 123 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 37c | 413$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.19 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…0690backed Yes | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 69c | 321.44$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 45c | 303.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 70c | 301.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 38c | 290$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 75c | 267.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…bbcebacked Yes | 17c | 264.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…f868backed Yes | 11c | 245$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 244.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 894 | 48.3%432 W · 462 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed No | 57c | 226.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…d640backed Yes | 43c | 208$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe428…50bfbacked Yes | 37c | 201$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 468 | 30.1%141 W · 327 L | -20.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…e865backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed No | 37c | 195$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 43c | 188.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 184.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 1,344 | 44.3%595 W · 749 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…8354backed Yes | 68c | 180$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 179.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 324 | 34.9%113 W · 211 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 57c | 174.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 78c | 166.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 192 | 62.5%120 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…fbfdbacked Yes | 40c | 149.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed No | 58c | 144.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 47c | 133.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed No | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 44c | 125.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 190 | 45.3%86 W · 104 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 70c | 124.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 45c | 122.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 64c | 114.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…107abacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 37c | 98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…b4a7backed Yes | 44c | 89.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 13c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…839fbacked No | 60c | 77.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88dd…f6bebacked No | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 41c | 73.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…4258backed No | 71c | 72.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 233 | 55.8%130 W · 103 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed Yes | 79c | 63.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…db24backed Yes | 44c | 63.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…dfa0backed No | 56c | 62.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…a7b3backed No | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…5975backed No | 68c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…eb3bbacked No | 60c | 57.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 40c | 56.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 55.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 994 | 17.2%171 W · 823 L | -149.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…cd7dbacked Yes | 70c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 72c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 28c | 53.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 58c | 51.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…36cabacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…618bbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…e665backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdf…a4cabacked Yes | 41c | 48.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 41c | 44.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…af42backed No | 58c | 42.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?this page
- Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Douglas Alexander be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Heidi Alexander be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.