TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc05…9a76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
593
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Tweets, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 60 out of 100; worst Movies at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT28455.6%158 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 284 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.91
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.7
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+249.4%+$76.74
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+516.3%+$66.18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$12.02
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+345.4%+$46.55
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$30.72
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.37
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 284 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.75
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.72
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.41
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49%+$34
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$81.73
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$25.93
Will Julian Alvarez score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$10.4
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.3
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.45
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.03
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.15
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.92
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$12.6
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.54
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Tom Hiddleston appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.64
Will a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Anthony Mackie appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.92
Will Pedro Pascal appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.04
Will Guillermo del Toro appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will a trailer for Blade Runner 2099 premiere at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will a trailer for Marvel Tōkon: Fighting Souls premiere at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$21.18
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$7.99
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$15.9
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.39
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.1
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$18.15
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.49
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.67
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$8.83
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$9.43
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$36.73
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.77
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.46
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$126.29
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.73
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$10.31
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.54
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.96
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.34
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$25.71
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.73
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.82
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+223.5%+$98.37
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$32.28
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.86
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$61.86
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$20.87
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.54
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$15.7
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$12.37
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.8B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $22.5B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $41B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.94
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.38
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$22.37
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.21
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+275.8%+$82.2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66%+$19.48
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.96
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$24.6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.28
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.24
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.2
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.11
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will G2 Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Will JD Gaming Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Will Sentinels Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.84
Will Karmine Corp Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will AG.AL Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.14
Will Team Secret Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.3
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Will "Punish" or "Punishing" be said 5+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will "Dive" be said 10+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will a LEC Team Beat An Eastern Team in a Bo5 at MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+157%+$33.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$35.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.9
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.07
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freddie Freeman record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$61.71
Will Bobby Witt Jr. record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.84
Will Otto Lopez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$119.28
Will Juan Soto record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Yordan Alvarez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$90.16
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$6.7
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ARETE Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Eventbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$95.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.