TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$398,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb100…6461backed Yes56c27,604$15,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,534.126453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Yes29c26,457$7,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,604.53128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick29cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c21,940$15,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,611.541566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked No44c17,538$7,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,853.3396048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes28c16,363$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,509.831,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes24c13,167$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.3547047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed No45c13,125$5,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,210.4269741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb2…af7bbacked Yes28c11,745$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.931833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Yes60c10,907$6,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,543.9925268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes32c10,598$3,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,423.942334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e45…8b46backed Yes45c9,940$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.72268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.9wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+65.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked No73c9,565$6,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.46922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Yes30c8,856$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.821,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No72c8,612$6,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No71c8,186$5,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.224465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b6…7d7cbacked Yes76c8,143$6,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,215.012441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c7,805$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.42,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes54c7,777$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.5735448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c6,637$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.8290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf024…fbd3backed Yes32c6,365$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.2816546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Yes31c5,115$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5851428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes42c5,071$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.961,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed No64c4,831$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.755366%35 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No69c4,226$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.8714761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No40c4,032$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.992,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No56c3,836$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.885648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No41c3,427$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.8932442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…db6abacked Yes30c3,393$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4af…c998backed Yes28c3,310$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.82850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No63c3,265$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.042759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No72c3,260$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f5…b1c6backed No76c3,190$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.764774.5%35 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa375…7e59backed Yes33c3,024$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No61c2,787$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.081154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No63c2,775$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.461573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No70c2,719$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.991275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes35c2,705$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.512022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked Yes30c2,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+108.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcbd…618dbacked No72c2,653$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.931145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+161.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7155…f033backed Yes27c2,601$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2c…b7f7backed Yes58c2,560$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.585764.9%37 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…8dc7backed Yes58c2,527$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.292825%7 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes28c2,463$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.7452538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Yes31c2,336$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.8540651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c3…f002backed Yes24c2,283$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.511040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes40c2,237$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.7134151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc177…7fbbbacked Yes26c2,112$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.0516429.9%49 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No58c2,075$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.249748.5%47 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e3d…6143backed Yes59c2,061$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.923740.5%15 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9c9…9c92backed Yes30c2,059$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed No76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes26c1,929$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7421051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50064553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bb…54fbbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x515e…8309backed No65c1,708$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.942751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed Yes27c1,700$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46624648.4%119 W · 127 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Yes30c1,611$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.3837950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes39c1,593$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.116851.2%86 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f7…a5e1backed Yes64c1,400$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.729037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No62c1,360$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.792356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes25c1,327$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.214139%16 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41dd…afb8backed Yes25c1,326$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.021631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x416b…bad6backed Yes22c1,253$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.651947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked No42c1,253$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.47440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No59c1,179$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.532454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa480…9248backed Yes34c1,171$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No72c1,140$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.712171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7b…f8e4backed Yes30c1,100$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No70c1,072$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5124643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79de…e4bebacked Yes48c1,039$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes27c1,026$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.471723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No44c987.19$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.471,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes44c957.19$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.7152750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No63c928.97$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.012254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eee…9ee9backed Yes31c908.87$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.171136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc71…5919backed Yes37c867.12$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203020%6 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x693e…0636backed Yes35c853.07$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7921639.4%85 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes35c817.95$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1516819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x598e…9d4fbacked Yes62c809.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5b…36fcbacked Yes62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Yes60c799.87$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5133263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No73c793.46$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2319744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Yes29c784.66$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5598163.8%626 W · 355 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No72c779.99$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes39c750$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.24759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Yes33c743.61$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.911851.7%61 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes34c717$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.611127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes24c684.16$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8818121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No70c676.43$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.871080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40c7…a6c6backed Yes60c670.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022048.2%106 W · 114 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78c2…2633backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes27c646.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No71c639.39$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.31955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a03…cf2dbacked Yes22c632$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd976…ed9bbacked Yes16c627.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.