TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7164…7ff7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6648.5%32 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+107.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+441.2%+$4,404.64
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.08
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,552.94
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,515.69
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$852.63
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$828.57
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$1,166.33
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+5,329.2%+$3,090.94
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$576.47
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+564.7%+$564.68
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$697.4
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$552.38
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.71
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.34
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$853.85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.15
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$1,960.45
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.82
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.23
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.78
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.72
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$72.44
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69.19
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$108.62
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,885Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+147.7%+$2,784.11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$276
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$129
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$156.54
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,585
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+578.7%+$1,157.38
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$661.69
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.42
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$255.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.26
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.1
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$526.22
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$826.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+159%+$476.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$640.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.