Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7fc70c187e762684e9442f4a3d332f2799bb06e0275438bb77ce3817f3924d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 1,507$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.64 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,477$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 31c | 768.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 604.58$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 401.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 253.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 211.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 163.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9613backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 89.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 31c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 24c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…9abebacked Yes | 17c | 66.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Yes | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 34c | 55.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 35c | 48.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 35c | 47.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 35c | 47.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…fb23backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 35c | 41.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 35c | 36.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 35c | 36.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 35c | 36.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 36.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…1583backed Yes | 34c | 32.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…cff2backed No | 70c | 32.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…c558backed No | 67c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 21.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…efd8backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.