TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93f4…9abe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+433.6%+$196.97
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$13.09
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$31.95
Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$21.4
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.4
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.19
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$26.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+183.3%+$29.4
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.42
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.59
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$17.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$55.88
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177%+$44.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.