TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74d0…de45backed Under49c10,193$5,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.652650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over51c4,574$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.22040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under55c4,422$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4543647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over50c3,628$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under56c1,847$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.0446644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over66c1,447$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.312161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over32c1,426$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.938129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over50c1,168$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.965925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over21c977.38$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.633616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over53c856.88$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.541735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over58c793.13$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.131540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c756.21$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under69c666.25$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.471060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over22c599.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.99540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over26c571.8$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.137254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over53c568.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…a34bbacked Over64c460.56$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under55c455.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over50c450$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c443.53$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2647850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Over24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under3c413$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.031844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c406.17$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5815140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over50c399.31$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over51c393.65$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.894854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over59c348.64$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9413049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over58c346.5$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over33c326.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.384355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under79c300.26$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1295853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over29c292.53$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.588353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Over64c290.17$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.461346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over30c275.81$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.998853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over38c259.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.961070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+95.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over53c233.96$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under6c212.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over34c209.55$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.514060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over39c203.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.364146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over51c197.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under21c196$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c190.93$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over36c190.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.75754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over64c170$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over42c166.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.674337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under24c165.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.026823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over32c159.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.755154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under60c157.17$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.942642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over33c152.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.055352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over29c148.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.522560%15 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under57c140.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over36c138.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.694456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over62c133.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Over23c128.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.134100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+153.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c128.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2416865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over38c115.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.174353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Under54c107.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over42c104.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.764100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under58c100.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.339065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Under67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23b…df94backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.134461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under51c66.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9610757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…d2ebbacked Over64c60.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over29c59.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.694252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589d…b958backed Under67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under44c59.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2670%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.576434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under36c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8432453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under60c43.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.071631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93f4…9abebacked Under37c43.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over40c40.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.173345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1217…690abacked Under80c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Over27c39.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.512157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over61c32.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.995066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec27…ba0fbacked Over56c32.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Under37c29.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under78c28.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f5b…7216backed Under78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over50c25.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over48c23.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.995832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Under60c22.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a5…46b9backed Under69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…08a7backed Over70c19.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Over59c18.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.69580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over64c17.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb8…559ebacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.