TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfabc…2134

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
290
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 63 out of 100; worst Mls at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT14060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Newcastle United Jets FC 0 - 0 Sydney FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+228.8%+$2,234.65
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+534.6%+$63.74
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+197.5%+$1,065.93
Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$676.59
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$704.47
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,681.1
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$184.45
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$803.9
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$654.79
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,207.62
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.47
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.81
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,637Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$1,001.87
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.17
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+151.7%+$1,235.7
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$852.92
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$230.7
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$95.51
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$3,748.58
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.22
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$626.82
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$1,862.52
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,638.63
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,955.67
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT12534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI Londonbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.08
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$223.68
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedombacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$512.55
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Mi New Yorkbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,227.98
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+76%+$758.06
Major League Cricket: Texas Super Kings vs Washington Freedombacked Texas Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,862.81
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$922.31
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs Seattle Orcasbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.02
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.55
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.02
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,787Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$2,391.52
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.67
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Mi New Yorkbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.5
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+263.3%+$6,022.71
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Leicestershirebacked Yorkshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53%+$696.26
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Mi New Yorkbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$1,898.74
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.09
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Texas Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,229.26
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Durhambacked Yorkshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$5,885.26
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Mi New Yorkbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.48
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Washington Freedombacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.47
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedombacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.63
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Seattle Orcasbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+195.5%+$834.23
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Texas Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.05
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-70.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.61
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$1,690.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.