Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe54e711fa32b47b123c0cd9605049082c3d4ccfce95f23a0706ff26a208add67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 76c | 10,547$7,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 22c | 6,238$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.24 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 4,347$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.24 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 8c | 2,174$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,997$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 25c | 1,952$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.25 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 9c | 1,890$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 7c | 1,854$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 20c | 1,327$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.56 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,077$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.75 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 4c | 1,074$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 9c | 755.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 574.62$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.08 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 11c | 568.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 537.97$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.36 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 75c | 532.56$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.36 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 491.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 27c | 413.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 17c | 406.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 7c | 309.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 24c | 299.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Yes | 73c | 274.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 249.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 7c | 244.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 21c | 243.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 73c | 219.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 25c | 204.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…7cbebacked No | 11c | 197.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 46c | 195.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 21c | 194.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 183.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Yes | 79c | 171$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 166.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 28c | 138.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 75c | 111.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 17c | 105.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 61c | 104.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 28c | 102.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 17c | 96.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 74c | 91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 89.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 25c | 78.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked No | 25c | 78.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 77.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 16c | 75.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 23c | 56.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 76c | 52.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 52.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 50.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 50.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 74c | 30.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…bfe7backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 77c | 19.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 78c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…2c75backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.