Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f46875bbdd6e01890596972b85709ab0ae936c57018afa9dc9c1d66a705e037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 13,770$7,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,151.04 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 52c | 7,410$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked No | 57c | 3,488$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 35c | 2,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 59c | 2,582$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.55 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 54c | 2,500$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 2,067$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.21 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 43c | 1,885$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.92 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 60c | 1,685$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 1,374$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 53c | 1,325$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 1,171$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.23 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…93f9backed Yes | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 718.98$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.92 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 53c | 665.95$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 602.03$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.56 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 45c | 551.89$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 533.45$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 48c | 524.79$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 38c | 504.56$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 55c | 452$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 52c | 446$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2812…9c8bbacked Yes | 29c | 440.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 413.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 38c | 391.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 53c | 375$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 44c | 372$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 345.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…dcd2backed Yes | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 323.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…3cf8backed Yes | 45c | 298.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 49c | 225.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 49c | 225.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 42c | 221.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 62c | 218.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 8c | 208$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 40c | 207.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 199.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 195.22$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes | 61c | 195.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 194.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 37c | 193$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 44c | 186.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 39c | 185.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 44c | 169.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Yes | 30c | 166.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 151.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 52c | 145.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…d537backed Yes | 50c | 118.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 46c | 106.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 42c | 103.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf13…6fb7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 55c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 56c | 88.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 53c | 82.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 45c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 49c | 76.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 48c | 71.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 30c | 69.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 45c | 67.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 56c | 65.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 43c | 58.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 67c | 56.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 34c | 55.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…7cbebacked Yes | 21c | 53.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 48.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 44.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 50c | 44.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 48c | 41.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Yes | 49c | 40.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.