TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f84…be62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4112.2%5 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.17
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.47
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kai Havertz: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Deniz Undav: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$106.87
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.99
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-4.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.44
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$507.86
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.47
Spread: Uruguay (-3.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.49
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.73
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.03
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Ivan Ivanovbacked Ivan Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+335.3%+$448.42
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+374.6%+$311.86
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.83
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+66.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$58.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Bryczek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.