TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$916,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$954,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $916,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcbcf…63bdbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c23,924$10,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,182.154,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes9c20,636$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.7174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes13c18,378$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.135345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c17,059$6,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,210.771,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes12c16,755$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.0490%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes5c15,688$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.9376842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc8backed Yes66c15,134$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes62c14,336$8,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,842.942653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes14c13,603$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.417851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes13c13,366$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.5616040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No7c12,423$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,551.1710253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No47c11,770$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,288.3313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes74c11,238$8,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,346.120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes58c10,755$6,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,235.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No32c10,607$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,193.253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No49c10,590$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,381.7714658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3206…6914backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes14c8,888$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.322626.9%7 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c8,085$5,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.3756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes14c7,243$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0142326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e06…5fe6backed Yes73c6,878$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eed…64c2backed Yes57c6,421$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,665.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes14c5,957$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8342835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes6c5,940$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7372142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No41c4,859$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.571947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c4,487$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.2169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes70c4,482$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,134.23836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe906…3525backed Yes68c4,412$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No31c4,120$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.122,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes73c4,107$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.9322644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29ab…a640backed Yes11c4,000$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes13c4,000$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.992646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes13c3,478$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.136737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes15c3,150$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes4c2,839$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No40c2,801$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.459246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…0b8dbacked Yes6c2,647$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes56c2,577$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.5113353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Yes12c2,500$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes13c2,470$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.091942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Yes12c2,383$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes68c2,353$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed No45c2,232$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.175754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes15c2,214$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3259131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes4c2,130$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.282250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes13c2,010$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.322534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes62c2,008$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.145662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed No26c1,932$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.128949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No47c1,927$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.096240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes61c1,918$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.2818748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe153…ba59backed Yes60c1,900$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc733…3805backed Yes14c1,855$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7340%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes4c1,760$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.391457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes3c1,700$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.14632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66a…0797backed Yes62c1,700$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes71c1,691$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Yes66c1,682$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes72c1,666$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No30c1,643$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.6518453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes77c1,620$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.8677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes12c1,607$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.416,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8414…2ddebacked Yes47c1,521$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Yes53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes71c1,413$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebd…690ebacked Yes3c1,311$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68d…945dbacked Yes3c1,210$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes10c1,187$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.87540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes46c1,165$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed No45c1,114$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.596547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No31c1,097$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.3825348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Yes54c1,086$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5822123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes11c1,036$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes13c1,018$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.331,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9e3…af4bbacked Yes71c1,000$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Yes59c999.98$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+94.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes14c985.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No56c955.5$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.0729250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No68c952.5$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.2132345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked No42c950.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.1211234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Yes67c920$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes13c915.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes4c900$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24b6…e069backed Yes9c899.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No30c895.65$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.0357150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No35c869.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.51887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes12c863.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10190%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x079a…d3dfbacked Yes14c857.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid+79.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes15c854.33$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.137427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yes59c853.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes10c840.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes14c811.79$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.654119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No21c804.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.344060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.