TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x079a…d3df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10763.6%68 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Middlesex vs Durhambacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+34%+$85.38
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Durham vs Middlesexbacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
T20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$132
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$122.6
T20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$226.43
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Southern Bravebacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallantsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.01
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Firebacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$685.44
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Colombo Kapsbacked Jaffna Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$84.3
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spiritbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$337
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.97
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Kandy Royalsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.87
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$907.69
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Jaffna Kingsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.03
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Colombo Kapsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.68
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.34
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Colombo Kapsbacked Jaffna Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$369
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Kandy Royalsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,634Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$1,466
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid+79.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$182.06
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$950
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$906.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33%+$68.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.