TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$543,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,938 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes17c149,132$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No76c59,881$45,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,323.59856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c54,081$40,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,427.532,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c33,321$7,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,988.741,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c29,359$6,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,663.352,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes24c15,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6008939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3007548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c7,377$4,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.32,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes48c6,992$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,373.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No78c6,880$5,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.61770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c6,800$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.544,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes22c5,620$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.681435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes4c3,724$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.966121.3%13 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+183%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes52c3,685$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.7418748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Yes22c2,950$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+152.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c2,935$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.466,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes23c2,278$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.842420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed No55c2,097$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.692958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No65c2,048$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.0642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Yes2c1,895$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes22c1,860$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No76c1,847$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes24c1,808$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.9212448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes23c1,516$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes22c1,160$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c1,082$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4513948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes17c1,059$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…458fbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes21c896.51$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.275052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c815.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes47c787.23$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes21c775.7$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16519826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes18c691.25$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5596445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8915757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes17c653.53$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.12832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes18c619.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10935028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Yes10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes17c587.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.959534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c581.76$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3557150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+145.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes22c545.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes23c539.13$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Yes44c520$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No52c506.3$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.627552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes20c501.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+107.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x549e…c680backed Yes60c496.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No65c479.03$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1245142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes13c470$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.11250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c457$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2368942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Yes44c456.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No72c450.52$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ab…3ebcbacked Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes20c399.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.992955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes24c374.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.929150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes47c353.19$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No71c344.64$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9315249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes24c341$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes25c333$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.253138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes62c324.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes14c317.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3817327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Yes34c302.77$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+689.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7232453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed No63c290.69$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.862245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6f…8384backed Yes25c268$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No47c262.45$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.131747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c261$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.841,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9dddbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes28c234$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5725052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c229.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.441,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes44c229.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…f158backed Yes71c220.28$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No79c218$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.783865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes35c217.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3240721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce54…b490backed Yes57c217$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes44c204.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb363…db78backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.