TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe728…9d87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
453
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT23150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 231 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs banda chuya (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked TheBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$9.34
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$20.92
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked maybe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$17.84
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.88
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffsbacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Festina Lente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Wanted Goons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$42.98
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Iowa Stormboar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Bbacked Ding Cuts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked B8 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$15.52
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+70%+$18.17
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+318.7%+$99.96
Showing 25 of 231 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT14957.7%86 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.38
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.16
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.28
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.5
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.71
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.14
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.85
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.37
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$14.75
LoL: New Meta vs DetonatioN FocusMe Academy (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.71
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.28
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.14
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Watford FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Southampton FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Derby County FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will Preston North End FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$42.1
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50.9%+$54.45
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$87.29
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+181.6%+$363.15
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+340.5%+$85.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+323.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heracles Almelo vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$93.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$20.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Necaxa vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.