Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51e7efb37e78abca32aae351ff85c618479d5b980e8b0a29710695e416641656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 3,402$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.91 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,844$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 810.98$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 31c | 789$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.59 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 573.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 528$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 79c | 520.22$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 390.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 349.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 274.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 206.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 18c | 179$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…12a1backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 29c | 133.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 119$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 59.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…118cbacked No | 76c | 51.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 77c | 23.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.