Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77acd0ed73d2607d6808e864cac9e40b12a03af8187ba57fb300757c5f541cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,441 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 5,496$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 4,627$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.34 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 32c | 4,439$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 69c | 2,902$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.02 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 32c | 1,608$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 28c | 1,345$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.05 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 1,316$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 28c | 1,220$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 71c | 1,043$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.81 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 786$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 63c | 631.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 73c | 579$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 4c | 552$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 72c | 514.56$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 491.75$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 72c | 358.76$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 71c | 349.39$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…30a6backed Yes | 74c | 305.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 65c | 279.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 72c | 275.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 73c | 250$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 27c | 240.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 71c | 223.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…8080backed Yes | 60c | 212.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 61c | 201.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 71c | 188.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 73c | 177.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 66c | 165.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 9c | 164$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Yes | 72c | 159.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 123.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 29c | 122$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 73c | 119.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 74c | 113$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…9470backed Yes | 72c | 105.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 104.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 73c | 99.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 58c | 95.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 54c | 91.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 71c | 84.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 81.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 62c | 65.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 65.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes | 63c | 59.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 30c | 57.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…f12ebacked Yes | 59c | 51.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 59c | 50.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 43c | 46.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 71c | 37.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 29c | 37.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 73c | 36.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…9da5backed Yes | 63c | 33.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 72c | 19.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 72c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ff2dbacked Yes | 73c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.