TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd87…30a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$79.41
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$79.83
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+209.9%+$75.56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+102.9%+$128.67
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$82.33
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$347
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$152
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.53
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.05
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$50.41
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.8%+$51.33
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.37per pick46cpaid-82.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+144.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$146.28
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+102.6%+$51.29
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+175.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+175.4%+$87.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$222.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.