TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,335,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,696,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,335,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed No51c382,310$194,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194,974.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked No52c283,119$147,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,667.251250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes50c250,321$123,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,396.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes48c130,622$63,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,281.562236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No50c127,546$63,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,773.0116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea6a…9c96backed Yes73c108,571$79,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,360.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes49c101,457$49,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,742.951040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes49c98,208$48,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,806.457924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Yes51c96,654$49,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,360.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No51c79,169$40,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,377.024858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No50c78,047$39,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,384.7821343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked No51c73,541$37,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,505.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c51,941$26,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,868.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked No51c48,530$24,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,750.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Yes51c47,989$24,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,376.251656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes49c36,049$17,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,385.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c34,348$16,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,905.011,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No50c27,304$13,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,65214349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked No50c25,338$12,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,562.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes51c24,717$12,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,059.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No49c21,446$10,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,522.9714732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes51c21,076$10,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,226.5210234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No3c20,977$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.892532%8 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes50c20,261$10,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,130.684537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a40…d801backed Yes50c19,477$9,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,778.35166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-87.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No48c16,450$7,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,845.951030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes49c16,150$7,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,244.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No50c16,000$7,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,94029740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes47c12,500$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,62519038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No51c11,961$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,100.011050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Yes50c11,640$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,820771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba69…8e9dbacked Yes49c10,959$5,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No51c10,730$5,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.258943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes48c9,925$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,209.617433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes49c9,894$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,047.131136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No48c9,850$4,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,728.124553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No48c9,849$4,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,727.675228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes49c9,716$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,954.585653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes50c9,700$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8504367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No51c9,516$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8532227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes46c9,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,86029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed No50c8,502$4,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,250.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes51c7,999$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.637842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No50c7,365$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No9c7,363$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.7614715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes73c6,943$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.477238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Yes54c6,845$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.353026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Yes51c6,301$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes60c6,002$3,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.081643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e7…814cbacked Yes49c5,977$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes47c5,775$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.684656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes58c5,678$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3826237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c5,452$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.482,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No51c5,425$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.31145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes47c5,287$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.836850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c4,922$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No50c4,877$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.911,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Yes48c4,788$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No46c4,124$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.621662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0004266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes51c3,831$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.73455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9246…2736backed Yes49c3,561$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed No49c3,472$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No52c3,301$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.4218848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Yes48c3,253$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes48c3,225$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.154355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cb0…9e94backed Yes50c3,093$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208f…f045backed Yes46c3,083$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed Yes52c3,014$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.941060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes48c3,007$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9614948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes48c3,001$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.353644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No49c2,963$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.841450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No52c2,891$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.264751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes50c2,865$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes50c2,825$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.542025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No41c2,821$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No48c2,770$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.5511942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No47c2,744$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.5642043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…25bebacked Yes50c2,631$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No49c2,393$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.5737144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes50c2,248$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes49c2,221$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.0850850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…048cbacked Yes49c2,216$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes48c2,188$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.952661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Yes47c2,176$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.272556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes49c2,154$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.5414348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebf…065ebacked Yes48c2,150$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Yes50c2,133$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.6411358.4%66 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes51c2,091$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.921020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No35c2,079$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.149124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No57c2,055$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.81560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.532268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4185…298dbacked No49c2,010$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.