TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccda…21f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$525.42
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$1,112.96
Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)backed Córdoba CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$332.88
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$727.13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$151.97
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$544.47
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$627.7
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$883.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$232
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$297.92
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$277.57
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,655.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$702.77
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$313.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.77
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.4
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$178.47
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$430.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,286Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$1,691.22
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,954Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.8%+$1,256.41
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$434
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$635.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$313.33
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$451.23
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,972.7
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$1,452.94
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,447Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$1,038.07
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.82
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$947.9
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$633.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+164.5%+$744.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.