La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b97de5428279251f747d696775696473658aeba6996a86c99d8231d8617097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 61c | 1,609$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.7 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,093$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 775.02$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.26 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 11c | 669.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed No | 65c | 505$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 374.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 12c | 299.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes | 41c | 230.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 17c | 222.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 16c | 149$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 36c | 125.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 15c | 123.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 111.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 91.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked No | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 15c | 79.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 72.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f3…0ffabacked Yes | 43c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 46.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 39c | 43.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bad…e9e0backed No | 58c | 27.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…386fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 73c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.