La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2fd807ccd4a56b2a464f6725ae635560601325d61025153d4a4a02245392e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 9c | 1,300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 574.84$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.82 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 59c | 566$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.94 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 241.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 76c | 131.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42a…3078backed Yes | 32c | 131.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 49c | 125.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 21c | 106.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 57c | 100.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 73.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 52.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes | 40c | 50.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 32c | 48.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 44.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 55c | 44.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +66%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 43.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…2b88backed Yes | 57c | 38.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 56c | 31.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 38c | 26.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.