TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No44c6,528$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.7613844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c6,395$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.294,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes58c5,491$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.0210736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c5,096$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.333,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes61c2,934$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.741,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes71c2,717$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.761,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes40c2,200$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3231442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c1,837$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.821,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed Yes47c1,674$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.845442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes49c1,433$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.1720843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes61c744.26$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.262060%12 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+41.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes36c739.11$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.034544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Yes58c672.41$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.411968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No10c541.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No26c539$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2510927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes49c532.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.5710361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes61c524.59$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5914549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.811264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes62c446.77$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7711551.3%59 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes61c404.52$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x970e…613ebacked Yes48c390.21$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes61c370.34$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.43666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes43c369.05$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.057744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Yes64c361.9$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.91850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Yes58c309.55$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c302.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes59c299.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12313958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No21c290.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.964143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes36c267.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17112044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes63c220.85$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1213658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes60c213$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Yes56c177.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No44c164.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.756142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9322939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Yes62c161.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.551553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes61c160.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.783151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No40c151$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.41,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No74c148.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c145.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.375431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes27c140.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.375026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0165…b1c6backed Yes56c132.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.873855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No28c132.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6263553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes61c131.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.153850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No52c125.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.076377.8%49 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c124$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes61c121.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9811656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15e…b801backed Yes34c121.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No14c115.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.089946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes61c113.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.292871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes61c110.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1110152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes40c106.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.983429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4022740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes35c99.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.912035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Yes45c99.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.416848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes34c95.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7310937.6%41 W · 68 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.595349.1%26 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No60c92.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No27c87.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9717842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes61c86.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.715942.4%25 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes60c85.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.336717.9%12 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes44c82.21$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.916764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…7720backed Yes37c82.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes38c77.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No50c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3514067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No31c69.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8421139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No39c66.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9412653.2%67 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Yes61c65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes78c64.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.17554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No34c64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c62.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.822,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes58c59.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9127055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes45c58.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.335862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Yes60c58.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.084944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes49c57.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.149740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked No44c55.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.293751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes65c52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.384376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes49c51.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3132444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed No29c51.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No39c50.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b45…9f5bbacked Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes57c47.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No56c43.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5810944%48 W · 61 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No38c40.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.578229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.985451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d2…386fbacked Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+137.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaccd…befdbacked Yes78c38.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes58c34.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.573946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes60c33.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5635442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No38c32.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3541323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.794553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fd…7537backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792576%19 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7910154.5%55 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes61c32.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.77960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes47c31.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7337348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes64c31.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.198342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.