TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcca0…3738

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
253
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6850%34 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+522.4%+$313.41
France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$47.9
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$48.33
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$64.13
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$42.18
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Real Valladolid CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikoribacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Set Handicap: Ofner (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5)backed Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$69.49
Set Handicap: Kumstat (-1.5) vs Jianu (+1.5)backed Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$35.62
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Pellegrino (+1.5)backed Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$27.95
Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+59%+$23.59
Set Handicap: Ivashka (-1.5) vs Villanueva (+1.5)backed Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Estoril Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Bunschoten: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaardbacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Bunschoten: Max Schoenhaus vs Max Houkesbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Dimitrov (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$35.83
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Kouame (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,725
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$904.9
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$353.5
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.4
Will Bitcoin reach $113K September 1–7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+271.9%+$271.85
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+288.4%+$2,283.8
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+525%+$1,050
Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+588.9%+$1,653.42
Will XRP reach $2.6 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+194.3%+$690.41
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$276.43
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$113
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$180
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$68.65
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$35.82
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$76.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$131.07
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-63.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+81.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.