La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d3821ef26f0d92f3ad01cc478bc6cd458b4c4db8f3a0ef292074f3dc54a28a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 51c | 5,275$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 3,642$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.85 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,288$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.47 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 50c | 799.66$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.14 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 770.09$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 690.06$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 583.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 52c | 481$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 447.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 36c | 383.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 374.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 353.19$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked No | 48c | 241.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 239.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 51c | 202$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 25c | 196.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 176.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 148.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 50c | 145.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 49c | 141.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Yes | 66c | 139.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 121.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 49c | 118.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 190 | 37.9%72 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 81.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…bdf0backed No | 49c | 81.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed Yes | 52c | 79.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed Yes | 52c | 78.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 52c | 77.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…4c57backed No | 49c | 75.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 72.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 50c | 67.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 49c | 53.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 47.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 67c | 44.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff4…c45cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 50c | 29.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…4dafbacked Yes | 62c | 20.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Yes | 52c | 19.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.